Palpite translates to "hunch" or "guess" in English. It's an interesting word because it implies an intuitive feeling or a hopeful speculation, rather than a concrete fact.
In the context of this song, it's used as a title and a concluding thought, suggesting a hopeful guess or a feeling about the possibility of love returning. It captures the uncertainty and longing of the singer, making it a poignant and memorable choice.
Léo Foguete built "Palpite" around a very specific kind of missing someone: the kind that shows up at night, alone, under a blanket, still replaying how it felt to be close to them. He opens with "'To com saudade de você" ['I miss you'], and two lines later gets almost uncomfortably physical about it: "E te arrancar suspiros, fazer amor" ['And take your breath away, make love']. This is not a song about heartbreak in the abstract; it is about a body that remembers.
The chorus turns the missing into a question he cannot answer. "Será que você volta?" ['Will you come back?'] sits right next to "Tudo à minha volta é triste" ['Everything around me is sad'], and he never resolves it; he just keeps circling back to one word, "Palpite" ['guess'], which the title picks up. It is not hope exactly, and it is not resignation either. It is a guy admitting out loud that guessing is the only thing left to do.